June 11, 1915. 1218 . THE COLLIERY GUARDIAN. _________________________ __________________________________ and the probability of higher wages* in the coal trade. It has been found, too, that in North Staffordshire a number of persons have left the potteries for the coal mines, and there is no doubt that a large number of agricultural labourers have drifted into the mines. A. certain number of Belgian refugee miners have also been employed at mines, notably in Cumberland, South Yorkshire, and South Wales, but the number is small. The. evidence ,is conclusive that if labour is further withdrawn from the collieries (notwithstanding the adoption ..of all possible ameliorative measures), the output will be so reduced as to seriously affect the indus- trial position of the country, and the time appears to the Committee to. have arrived when very full consideration should be given to the question as to whether further recruiting among the miners should be encouraged. ■ All the witnesses1 who were questioned on the point, whether inspectors of mines, representatives of the coal owhers or of the workmen, agreed that the recruits had, for .the most part, been drawn from the underground labour, and very largely from those engaged at the face in the work, of getting (hewers, colliers) and moving (drawers, putters,- or hauliers) the coal, who, taken together, constitute7 roughly about; two-thirds of the underground labour of a colliery. Shortage in Supply. It .will be noticed that the fall in output per month has been fairly - regular, that is to say, roughly, a loss of nearly three million tons (with the exception of the months of November and January last, when it was higher) as compared with the same months of the period preceding the war. It will be observed, also, that for August' last the loss of output was 2,829,819 tons, as compared, with a loss of 2,661,817 tons for the month of February, of this year. At first sight this appears para- doxical, especially in view of the fact that comparatively few. recruits had been drawn from the mines during the former month, and that the effect of recruiting on pro- duction ..must necessarily, .have been gradual and cumulative.—small at first, but considerable as the number of recruits increased. The fact is, that, the falling ofi in output during the earlier stages of the war was not so much due to a shortage of labour as to other causes.; For instance, Mr. Guthrie .informed us that in Northumberland and Durham, and more especially in the:.former county,-the decreased production was due to lack of orders; for the .coal. Gradually the position righted itself, and. the mines are now working full time. A study of the tables for Northumberland and Durham shows the loss of output to have been very heavy indeed, showing actually a greater loss for August 1914 than in respect of February of this year. Some other mining districts were affected in like manner, although to a less extent. Especial stress has been laid upon Northum- berland, because it depends for its market more than any other mining district (with the possible exception of Fife) on shipping and export, and is unable to com- pete with other districts for much of the internal trade. A characteristic example may be given of the case of a district unaffected by the disruption caused by the war in its earlier stages—that of Cumberland. This is a mining district from which large numbers of miners have gone to join the Forces.. The effect of the recruit- ing has been gradual and: cumulative. At the time of the outbreak of war, and for some time prior thereto, the cotton trade of Lancashire was depressed, and the demand for coal was below the normal (compare the output for July 1914 with the same month for 1913), and the mines were not working full time, but trade conditions'have improved of late, and the demand for coal has increased, with the result that the effect of labour shortage in this district is now beginning to be severely felt. Put briefly, during the earlier months of the war coal was not drawn on so many days as at present. Coal is being wound practically on as many days now as before the war. Thus,5 dealing with returns sent m by 891 owners of groups of .collieries, in February 1914 the number , of days on which coal was wound was 23,887-J, ahddn February 1915 the number was 23,887|; whereas in August 1913 the number of days on which coal was wound was 23,548|, while in 1914 the number .was 20,425|; It is only since the turn of the year that a general improvement in respect of the number of days worked has set in, largely contributed to by Scotland and the - North of. England. There are factors which may have operated to prevent the falling off of output being greater than it has been. It would appear from the evidence . of several of the witnesses that in the working of many collieries the output per person employed below ground is greatest on those days bn which the absenteeism is greatest, due to the fact that those coal getters who are at work are more expeditiously served with empty tubs, and their coal is sooner cleared away than when the full complement of coal getters is at work, that is to say, up to a certain point only may the output of a mine be said to be directly proportional to the number of under- ground workers employed therein—a mine may have been overstaffed with coal getters. But a point is soon reached at which the diminished supply of labour is felt —a point, which, in the present case, has long since been passed, i. . A factor making for increased production for a given staff of workmen is the re-organisation of the working conditions, of the mine, e.g., concentrating the coal getters into those parts of the mine in which coal is most, easily got, - curtailment of dead and, exploratory work, expediting of underground haulage, more exten- sive application of labour-saving; appliances. , .The probability is that as the labour shortage: began to be manifested, .: organisation of this kind. was more and more carried into effect by the management! of -the collieries.. But the Committee are of the opinion that in. the. present emergency this side , of the question should be emphasised, and steps taken to effect where- ever possible improvements in these directions. Tons. 5,998,434 8,952,328 2,031,077 1,056,634 369,789 . It is impossible to estimate with any certainty what would have been, the output for, the year 1915 had the war not occurred, but the Committee think it may be taken that the decrease of production will be fully 36 million tons, if not more, unless means can be devised to increase the monthly output already recorded, or, at any rate, prevent a further diminution. It is realised that such a loss of output may not mean a shortage to a like extent. For there has been liberated, owing to the closing of certain markets, fully 18 million tons,* which in normal times would have been exported to the following countries, viz. :— Russia .................... Germany .................. Belgium .................. Austria-Hungary .......... Turkey .................... 18,40$,262* The returns for the quarter ending March 31 last show a decrease in export of 6,210,643 tons, as compared with the like period of last year. Which, if the rate of fall is maintained, would give a decrease for the year of 24,842,572 tons, or about six million tons in excess of that accounted for above. It is doubtful, however, how far these figures can be taken as a guide for the future, for it is thought that the amount of the export will largely be governed by the extent to which shipping is available for carrying the coal. It must be borne in mind that the greater number of the mines in the Pas-de-Calais coalfield are in the possession of the enemy, and that Germany has ceased to be a competitor in many of the coal markets of the world. ' , The Committee do not anticipate that the recent rise in the price of coal will have a materially deterrent effect on export. It should be remembered, too, that the demands of the Admiralty are far in excess of the normal. ’ There- are no means of accurately gauging the extent of the shortage of coal for home supply, as of the three factors entering into the computation, viz., production, export, and home demand, only the first two can be determined; the latter is an uncertain and fluctuating figure. For instance, there are no means of gauging accurately the extent of the shortage of supply for gas works and household purposes, as the effect of the evidence goes to show that up to the end of the year the opportunity of putting coal into stock was not taken advantage of, although collieries were working short time, and that consequently stocks were depleted, and a shortage resulted, which was accentuated by the diffi- culty of obtaining ships for coastwise trade, and, in respect of some districts, by the dislocation of railway traffic. The necessity of maintaining the output at as high a level as possible is obvious. While some indication has been given that the home demand may be somewhat less at the present time than it was some little time before the war, on the other hand, certain.industries are much more active than they were, and the Committee are therefore of the opinion that it might not be wise, in considering the question of shortage, to ■ assume that the home demand will be materially less than it was before the war. This brings us to the consideration of the various means which might be adopted with the view of (1) maintaining or possibly enhancing the present rate of output, and (2) of devising means for increasing the supply of coal for use in the home markets. The means which have been suggested in the course of the enquiry as calculated, if adopted, to counteract the effect of shortage of labour due to recruiting are :— (1) The reduction of avoidable absenteeism on the days on which the mines are open for work; (2) The curtailment of holidays; (3) The suspension of the Eight Hours Act; (4) The introduction of labour from outside; (5) The employment of women to perform the lighter work on the surface of the mines; (6) The reduction of the age limit at which boys are permitted to work at the mines; and (7) What may be described as general reorganisa- tion of the work at the mines. The Committee say : “We have examined these possible ameliorative measures with a view to deter- mining how far they are practicable or desirable, and, if so, how they could best be carried into effect. The conclusions we have arrived at are set out below, and it should be understood that they are dependent for their effectiveness on the cordial co-operation of workmen and employers.’’ Absenteeism. The reduction of the avoidable absenteeism from work on the days on which the mines are open for work presents, the Committee are positive, the best means for increasing the output, and they are confident that much can be done in this direction. It has been shown that the average absenteeism over all classes of workmen employed at collieries, surface and underground, for the period since the commence- ment of the war up to the end of February last is, for the United Kingdom, 9-8 per cent., as compared with 10*7 per cent, for a like period during the pre-war months, or a reduction of nearly 1 per cent. But it is a fact well known to the members of the Committee, and supported by the great weight of evidence, that the absenteeism is much heavier in, respect of some classes than of others. Thus it is far heavier in the case of those engaged in the hewing and the putting of the coal than among the datal or on-cost hands, the hewers earning higher wages and both they and the putters * These figures for the year 1913 are taken from, a return furnikhed by the Board of Customs and Excise. Some coal was expdrted to Russia and Turkey last year after the out- break of war, viz., to Russia, 207,637 tons; and to Turkey, 53,525 tons—a total of 261,162 tons. being engaged in mpre arduous work than is the case with other classes of mine labour. As the coal-pro- ducing. classes (hewers and transit hands) constitute roughly, on the average two-thirds of the underground labour employed in mines, it is desirable that the Com- mittee should know, at any rate approximately, what is the percentage rate of absenteeism in respect of these classes, for it is in promoting greater regularity of work on the part of these classes that most relief is to be obtained. Dealing with most of the districts separately— Scotland.—In respect of Scotland, Mr. Mitchell, (a Scottish coal owner) submitted a statement based on the returns sent to a committee representing the Scottish coal trade, a return which did not include the whole output of Scotland, but “ such a large percentage that the conclusions to be drawn from them may be taken as fairly accurate.’’ He said, referring to the Committee’s returns, “ for the eight months from July 1914 to February 1915 the shifts lost for workers above and below ground are 6*20 per cent, of the total which could have been worked. This, in my opinion, is under- stated owing chiefly to the information given in columns 6 and 7 of the Schedules not being made up on the same basis as 7 and 13. In columns 7 and 13 shifts worked on idle days and Sundays have in many cases been included, the actual absenteeism being thereby shown as less than is really the case.’’ As he gives the absenteeism of the 'workers at the face for the month of February as 9-97, which is low as compared with other mining districts, and the on-cost workers at 6-74 per cent., the Committee incline to the belief that the figure 6-20 per cent, of general absenteeism is not far from, the truth. On the other hand, Mr. Mitchell put the unavoidable absenteeism at a very low figure—viz., 3 per cent., but adding thereto 2 per cent., which may reasonably be taken as accounting for the persons who are in receipt of compensation, the Committee arrive at 5 per cent, as the amount of unavoidable absen- teeism. , The reduction of output for the whole of Scotland, calculated over the period August 1, 1914, to Feb- ruary 28, 1915, is nearly 4 million tons, or 16-48 per cent., but causes other than loss of labour have operated to reduce output. Mr. Mitchell expressed the opinion that there was no material deficiency of supply and that the local demand would decrease during the summer, and that the export would not, in his view, increase owing to, lack of ships. He added, however,, if the local demand was as much as it was during 1913, then there was a shortage amounting probably to 1| million tons, but he thought that the local demand was less. Northumberland and Durham.—Mr. Guthrie stated that the statistics which the owners have prepared year by year show that the percentage of lost time by the coal hewers in Durham varies from 7-33 per cent, in 1896 to 13-29 per cent, in 1913, and in Northumber- land from 7-71 per cent, in 1896 to 14-49 per cent, in 1913. He regarded 5 per cent, as a “ generous allow- ance ’’ for unavoidable absenteeism, “ and a further deduction of, say, 2 per cent, might be made for other reasonable causes of absence, thus leaving a balance of 6-29 per cent., which could and should be available to increase production.’’ Adopting a similar deduction, from 14-48 per cent, in Northumberland, there is a difference of 7-48 per cent., of avoidable absenteeism. Applying these figures to the production of a normal year, he shows what increase could be secured if avoid- able absenteeism were eliminated. Thus :— Actual Avoidable Estimated output, absention. QUtpUt increase. Tons. Percent. Tons. Tons. Durham....... 41,532,890... 6’29 .. 44,145 309...2,612,419 Northumberland 14,819,284... 7’48 .. .15,927,766... 1,108,482 56,352,174... — ...60,073,075... 3,720,901 Mr. Guthrie continued The production of an ordinary year is not a proper basis for adoption at the present time, when the number of men is so much less than usual, but making a deduction of 20 per cent, for this cause, there is still a very large possibility of increase, as is shown in the following table :— Estimated Avoidable Estimtd. Estimated output, absention. output, increase. Tons. Percent. Tons. Tons. Durham ... 33,226,312... 6'29 ...35,316,247...2,089,935 Northumber- land..... 11,855,427... 7’48 ...12,742,213... 886,786 45,081,739 .. — ...48,058,460 . 2,976,721 = 6’60 “ The total production of the country in 1913 was 287,411,869 tons. After deducting 20 per cent, for loss of output through shortage of labour, a balance is shown of 229,929,495, and if the increase through reduction of absenteeism were the same as that esti- mated as above for Durham and Northumberland (6-60 per cent.), then the total increase of the whole country would be 15 million tons.” Lancashire and Cheshire.—Sir Thomas Ratcliffe-Ellis submitted on behalf of Lancashire and Cheshire a closely reasoned statement. He first showed that the output of coal for these two counties during the year 1913 was 24,627,515 tons (not very largely different from the output of the five preceding years). From this figure he deducted 9 per cent, for colliery con- sumption, which left available for market 22,411,039 tons, which figure had further to be reduced by -the amount of coal supplied to the workpeople. Then taking the returns from 33 representative collieries with an aggregated annual output of 12,922,769 tons, or 52-47 per cent, of the total output for the district, he proceeded to make the following calculations and deduc- tions :—The decrease in tonnage in respect of these collieries was for February 1915, as compared with the month of February 1914, 147,780 tons, or equal to a loss of 12-75 per cent;, or a loss of output for the whole district of 12-75 per cent, of 24,627,515, or 3,140,008. Taking the 33 representative collieries, he found that